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HomeMy WebLinkAbout09. Vail RAO as of May 31 2025Executive Summary Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 Executive Summary Data based on a sample of up to 25 properties in the Vail destination, representing up to 2244 Units ('DestiMetrics Census'*) and 59.10% of 3797 total units in the Vail destination ('Destination Census'**) Last Month Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD 2024/25 2023/24 Year over Year % Variance Vail Occupancy for last month (May) changed by (-13.4%)Occupancy (May) :19.0%21.9%-13.4% Vail ADR for last month (May) changed by (4.6%)ADR (May) :$ 227 $ 217 4.6% Vail RevPAR for last month (May) changed by (-9.4%)RevPAR (May) :$ 43 $ 48 -9.4% Next Month Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD Vail Occupancy for next month (Jun) changed by (-0.8%)Occupancy (Jun) :40.0%40.3%-0.8% Vail ADR for next month (Jun) changed by (-6.0%)ADR (Jun) :$ 307 $ 327 -6.0% Vail RevPAR for next month (Jun) changed by (-6.7%)RevPAR (Jun) :$ 123 $ 132 -6.7% Historical past 6 months Month Actual Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD Vail Occupancy for the past 6 months changed by (-0.4%)Occupancy 54.7%54.9%-0.4% Vail ADR for the past 6 months changed by (3.7%)ADR $ 755 $ 728 3.7% Vail RevPAR for the past 6 months changed by (3.3%)RevPAR $ 413 $ 400 3.3% Future 6 Month On The Books Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD Vail Occupancy for the furture 6 months changed by (3.7%)Occupancy 25.2%24.3%3.7% Vail ADR for the future 6 months changed by (0.0%)ADR $ 361 $ 361 0.0% Vail RevPAR for the future 6 months changed by (3.7%)RevPAR $ 91 $ 88 3.7% Incremental Pacing - % Variance in Rooms Booked last Calendar Month: May 31, 2025 vs. Previous Year Rooms Booked during last month (May,25) compared to Rooms Booked during the same period last year (May,24) for all arrival dates has changed by (42.2%)Booking Pace (May)5.4%3.8%42.2% * Inntopia Census: Total number of rooms reported by participating Inntopia properties as available for short-term rental in the reporting month. This number can vary monthly as inventories and report participants change over time. ** Destination Census: The total number of rooms available for rental within the community as established by the and adjusted for properties that have opened / closed since that time. This number varies infrequently as new properties start, or existing properties cease operations. © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. No parts of this work may be reproduced in any form or by any means, graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping or information storage and retrieval systems - without the written permission of the copyright holder. Products that are referred to in this document may be either trademarks and/or registered trademarks of the respective owners. The publisher and the author make no claim to these Trademarks. While every precaution has been taken in the preparation of this document, the publisher and the author assume no responsibility for errors or omissions, or for damages resulting from the use of information contained in this document or from the use of programs and source code that may accompany it. In no event shall the publisher and the author be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damage caused or alleged to have been caused directly or indirectly by this document. Vail Paid Occupancy (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Average Daily Rate (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Variance in YTD Occupancy and ADR Res Activity Outlook 2024/25 vs 2023/24 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Paid Occupancy (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Average Daily Rate (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Variance in YTD Occupancy and ADR (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Paid Occupancy (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Average Daily Rate (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Variance in YTD Occupancy and ADR (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook 2024/25 vs 2023/24 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Paid Occupancy Fill Analysis Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 *Based on providing complete pacing data within a given month of occupancy only. Results may differ from those presented elsewhere in report if property set differs. **Results for "Percent Variance in incremental fill" indicate how room nights booked during the month just ended compare to room nights booked during the same month in the prior year, for occupancy in the month just ended and for the upcoming five months (as well as the six-month period in total). These results provide an indication of the degree to which booking activity occurring during the month just ended was greater or less than booking activity occurring in the same month a year ago -- i.e. a measure of the strength of booking activity occurring during the month just ended. Vail Paid Occupancy (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Occ Rate: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy Occ Rate as of May 31, 2025 Occ Rate as of May 31, 2024 Occ Percent Variance in YTD Occ Rate Historic Actual Occ Rate CY Room Nights Available CY Room Nights Booked PY Room Nights Available PY Room Nights Booked # of Properties in sample Dec 24 58.7%60.4%-2.7%70,824 41,586 72,878 43,994 25 Jan 25 68.7%70.7%-2.9%65,742 45,180 68,946 48,779 24 Feb 25 77.5%73.9%4.9%63,241 49,041 68,241 50,455 25 Mar 25 73.1%74.6%-2.1%67,173 49,086 71,017 52,997 24 Apr 25 33.7%29.3%15.2%67,482 22,736 70,264 20,554 25 May 25 19.0%21.9%-13.4%69,568 13,223 72,726 15,963 25 Jun 25 40.0%40.3%-0.8%47.9%66,735 26,679 70,857 28,547 25 Jul 25 46.0%44.3%3.8%64.3%59,891 27,529 64,345 28,483 23 Aug 25 30.6%26.0%17.6%55.2%68,419 20,924 72,452 18,848 25 Sep 25 19.8%22.1%-10.6%47.2%56,645 11,195 60,633 13,404 24 Oct 25 12.5%8.8%41.8%30.8%69,509 8,696 73,497 6,486 25 Nov 25 4.1%6.0%-32.1%27.8%66,967 2,736 69,874 4,206 24 Grand Total 40.2%39.8%1.0%50.2%792,196 318,611 835,730 332,716 25 Historical Months Total 54.7%54.9%-0.4%54.9%404,030 220,852 424,072 232,742 25 On the Books Total 25.2%24.3%3.7%45.3%388,166 97,759 411,658 99,974 25 Vail Average Daily Rate (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Average Daily Rate: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy ADR as of May 31, 2025 ADR as of May 31, 2024 ADR Percent Variance in YTD Adr Rate Historic Actual ADR CY Room Nights Booked CY Room Revenue Booked PY Room Nights Booked PY Room Revenue Booked # of Properties in sample Dec 24 $829.69 $773.76 7.2%41,586 $ 34,503,325 43,994 $ 34,040,852 25 Jan 25 $818.39 $784.26 4.4%45,180 $ 36,974,848 48,779 $ 38,255,503 24 Feb 25 $895.00 $866.43 3.3%49,041 $ 43,891,452 50,455 $ 43,715,505 25 Mar 25 $798.45 $812.17 -1.7%49,086 $ 39,192,699 52,997 $ 43,042,342 24 Apr 25 $407.62 $339.75 20.0%22,736 $ 9,267,648 20,554 $ 6,983,249 25 May 25 $226.76 $216.83 4.6%13,223 $ 2,998,433 15,963 $ 3,461,179 25 Jun 25 $307.00 $326.67 -6.0%$316.88 26,679 $ 8,190,475 28,547 $ 9,325,368 25 Jul 25 $418.45 $415.96 0.6%$416.33 27,529 $ 11,519,548 28,483 $ 11,847,863 23 Aug 25 $400.97 $405.22 -1.0%$375.57 20,924 $ 8,389,996 18,848 $ 7,637,672 25 Sep 25 $335.17 $333.57 0.5%$323.53 11,195 $ 3,752,217 13,404 $ 4,471,186 24 Oct 25 $280.93 $259.17 8.4%$262.21 8,696 $ 2,442,928 6,486 $ 1,680,987 25 Nov 25 $359.14 $261.10 37.5%$297.82 2,736 $ 982,614 4,206 $ 1,098,194 24 Grand Total $ 634 $ 618 2.7%$ 559 318,611 $ 202,106,182 332,716 $ 205,559,899 25 Historical Months Total $ 755 $ 728 3.7%$ 728 220,852 $ 166,828,404 232,742 $ 169,498,630 25 On the Books Total $ 361 $ 361 0.0%$ 344 97,759 $ 35,277,778 99,974 $ 36,061,269 25 Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com RevPAR Rate: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy RevPAR as of May 31, 2025 RevPAR as of May 31, 2024 RevPAR Percent Variance in YTD RevPAR Rate Historic Actual RevPAR CY Room Nights Available CY Room Revenue Booked PY Room Nights Available PY Room Revenue Booked # of Properties in sample Dec 24 $487.17 $467.09 4.3%70,824 $ 34,503,325 72,878 $ 34,040,852 25 Jan 25 $562.42 $554.86 1.4%65,742 $ 36,974,848 68,946 $ 38,255,503 24 Feb 25 $694.03 $640.60 8.3%63,241 $ 43,891,452 68,241 $ 43,715,505 25 Mar 25 $583.46 $606.09 -3.7%67,173 $ 39,192,699 71,017 $ 43,042,342 24 Apr 25 $137.34 $99.39 38.2%67,482 $ 9,267,648 70,264 $ 6,983,249 25 May 25 $43.10 $47.59 -9.4%69,568 $ 2,998,433 72,726 $ 3,461,179 25 Jun 25 $122.73 $131.61 -6.7%$151.76 66,735 $ 8,190,475 70,857 $ 9,325,368 25 Jul 25 $192.34 $184.13 4.5%$267.89 59,891 $ 11,519,548 64,345 $ 11,847,863 23 Aug 25 $122.63 $105.42 16.3%$207.23 68,419 $ 8,389,996 72,452 $ 7,637,672 25 Sep 25 $66.24 $73.74 -10.2%$152.57 56,645 $ 3,752,217 60,633 $ 4,471,186 24 Oct 25 $35.15 $22.87 53.7%$80.67 69,509 $ 2,442,928 73,497 $ 1,680,987 25 Nov 25 $14.67 $15.72 -6.6%$82.94 66,967 $ 982,614 69,874 $ 1,098,194 24 Grand Total $ 255 $ 246 3.7%$ 281 792,196 $ 202,106,182 835,730 $ 205,559,899 25 Historical Months Total $ 413 $ 400 3.3%$ 400 404,030 $ 166,828,404 424,072 $ 169,498,630 25 On the Books Total $ 91 $ 88 3.7%$ 156 388,166 $ 35,277,778 411,658 $ 36,061,269 25 Vail Data Tables (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Summer Bookings: Revenue Per Available Room: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy RevPAR as of May 31, 2025 RevPAR as of May 31, 2024 Percent Variance in YTD RevPAR Historic Actual RevPAR CY Room Nights Available CY Room Revenue Booked PY Room Nights Available PY Room Revenue Booked # of Properties in sample May 25 $43.10 $47.59 -9.4%69,568 $ 2,998,433 72,726 $ 3,461,179 25 Jun 25 $122.73 $131.61 -6.7%$151.76 66,735 $ 8,190,475 70,857 $ 9,325,368 25 Jul 25 $192.34 $184.13 4.5%$267.89 59,891 $ 11,519,548 64,345 $ 11,847,863 23 Aug 25 $122.63 $105.42 16.3%$207.23 68,419 $ 8,389,996 72,452 $ 7,637,672 25 Sep 25 $66.24 $73.74 -10.2%$152.57 56,645 $ 3,752,217 60,633 $ 4,471,186 24 Oct 25 $35.15 $22.87 53.7%$80.67 69,509 $ 2,442,928 73,497 $ 1,680,987 25 Summer Total $ 95 $ 93 3.0%$ 148 390,767 $ 37,293,596 414,510 $ 38,424,253 25 Summer Bookings: Average Daily Rate: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy ADR as of May 31, 2025 ADR as of May 31, 2024 Percent Variance in YTD Adr Rate Historic Actual ADR CY Room Nights Booked CY Room Revenue Booked PY Room Nights Booked PY Room Revenue Booked # of Properties in sample May 25 $226.76 $216.83 4.6%13,223 $ 2,998,433 15,963 $ 3,461,179 25 Jun 25 $307.00 $326.67 -6.0%$316.88 26,679 $ 8,190,475 28,547 $ 9,325,368 25 Jul 25 $418.45 $415.96 0.6%$416.33 27,529 $ 11,519,548 28,483 $ 11,847,863 23 Aug 25 $400.97 $405.22 -1.0%$375.57 20,924 $ 8,389,996 18,848 $ 7,637,672 25 Sep 25 $335.17 $333.57 0.5%$323.53 11,195 $ 3,752,217 13,404 $ 4,471,186 24 Oct 25 $280.93 $259.17 8.4%$262.21 8,696 $ 2,442,928 6,486 $ 1,680,987 25 Summer Total $ 345 $ 344 0.2%$ 337 108,246 $ 37,293,596 111,731 $ 38,424,253 25 Summer Bookings: Occ Rate: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy Occ Rate as of May 31, 2025 Occ Rate as of May 31, 2024 Occ Percent Variance in YTD Occ Rate Historic Actual Occ Rate CY Room Nights Available CY Room Nights Booked PY Room Nights Available PY Room Nights Booked # of Properties in sample May 25 19.0%21.9%-13.4%69,568 13,223 72,726 15,963 25 Jun 25 40.0%40.3%-0.8%47.9%66,735 26,679 70,857 28,547 25 Jul 25 46.0%44.3%3.8%64.3%59,891 27,529 64,345 28,483 23 Aug 25 30.6%26.0%17.6%55.2%68,419 20,924 72,452 18,848 25 Sep 25 19.8%22.1%-10.6%47.2%56,645 11,195 60,633 13,404 24 Oct 25 12.5%8.8%41.8%30.8%69,509 8,696 73,497 6,486 25 Summer Total 27.7%27.0%2.8%44.0%390,767 108,246 414,510 111,731 25 Vail Data Tables (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Winter Bookings: Revenue Per Available Room: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy RevPAR as of May 31, 2025 RevPAR as of May 31, 2024 Percent Variance in YTD RevPAR Rate Historic Actual RevPAR CY Room Nights Available CY Room Revenue Booked PY Room Nights Available PY Room Revenue Booked # of Properties in sample Nov 25 $14.67 $15.72 -6.6%$82.94 66,967 $ 982,614 69,874 $ 1,098,194 24 Dec 25 Jan 26 Feb 26 Mar 26 Apr 26 Winter Total $ 15 $ 16 -6.6%$ 83 66,967 $ 982,614 69,874 $ 1,098,194 25 Winter Bookings: Average Daily Rate: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy ADR as of May 31, 2025 ADR as of May 31, 2024 Percent Variance in YTD Adr Rate Historic Actual ADR CY Room Nights Booked CY Room Revenue Booked PY Room Nights Booked PY Room Revenue Booked # of Properties in sample Nov 25 $359.14 $261.10 37.5%$297.82 2,736 $ 982,614 4,206 $ 1,098,194 24 Dec 25 Jan 26 Feb 26 Mar 26 Apr 26 Winter Total $ 359 $ 261 37.5%$ 298 2,736 $ 982,614 4,206 $ 1,098,194 25 Winter Bookings: Occ Rate: YTD 2024/25 VS. YTD 2023/24 Month of Occupancy Occ Rate as of May 31, 2025 Occ Rate as of May 31, 2024 Occupancy Percent Variance in YTD Occ Rate Historic Actual Occ Rate CY Room Nights Available CY Room Nights Booked PY Room Nights Available PY Room Nights Booked # of Properties in sample Nov 25 4.1%6.0%-32.1%27.8%66,967 2,736 69,874 4,206 24 Dec 25 Jan 26 Feb 26 Mar 26 Apr 26 Winter Total 4.1%6.0%-32.1%27.8%66,967 2,736 69,874 4,206 25 Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of May 31, 2025 © 2025 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com