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HomeMy WebLinkAboutEver Vail Imapacts On Transit Services 072310IMPACTS OF PROPOSED EVER VAIL DEVELOPMENT ON TRANSIT SERVICES LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. July 23, 2010 This memo presents a review of the impact that the proposed Ever Vail development would have on the Town of Vail's transit program. Project Overview The Ever Vail project site is located on the western end of Vail, adjacent to the Lionshead area. The proposed Ever Vail project incorporates a mixed -use plan. Major components of this plan include 357 residential units, 79,000 square feet of retail and restaurant floor area, 33,000 square feet of office floor area, 40,000 of recreation and spa floor area, a 120 -room hotel and 48 employee housing units. Parking is also an important component of the plan, with a total of 1,551 parking spaces proposed for skiers, shoppers, residents and hotel guests; drop - off locations are also provided on both the west and east ends of the development. Of the total parking supply, 400 are allocated for skier parking. Also included in the project plan is a transit center, with a proposed location along the I -70 Frontage Road near the eastern end of the project boundary. Existing Transit Services Vail Transit The following Vail Transit routes would serve Ever Vail: West Vail Green Route (Clockwise) and West Vail Red Route (Counterclockwise) — Currently two runs per hour are operated in each direction, frequently with shadow buses. At present, buses stop at the Cascade Crossing location west of Ever Vail area and West Lionshead Plaza to the east. Upon development, stops will be located at the Ever Vail Transit Center and West Lionshead Plaza. In -Town Route — This service does not operate on a set schedule, but rather buses are dispatched to provide consistent, short headways that vary with passenger demand. At the busiest times, buses can "bunch" due to loading delays, resulting in two buses at the same stop in the same direction. At present, this route continues westbound through the East Uonshead area to West Lionshead before returning back through East Lionshead eastbound, Ever Vail Impact on Vail Transit Page 2 skirting the edge of the Ever Vail project area. With the new development, the route will travel into the eastern end of Ever Vail, with a planned stop along Market Street. At present, extra "shadow" buses are typically added to provide additional passenger capacity during the afternoon peak end -of -day skier period. To increase capacity on the busiest links between Golden Peak and Lionshead, two to four westbound buses per hour are turned around at Lionshead, with any passengers traveling on to west Lionshead transferred to an ongoing bus. ECO Transit ECO Transit is the regional bus system serving Vail, making connections as far as Gypsum and Leadville. Given the scope of the development, Ever Vail will become an important additional stop on the ECO Transit route system. At present service levels, it will be served by the following routes: Edwards (Highway 6) — provides service between Edwards/ Arrowhead and Vail, with interim stops in Avon /Beaver Creek and Eagle -Vail. Using the existing schedule, it is estimated that Ever Vail could be served up to 4 times per hour in the peak morning and aftemoon hours. • Gypsum /Eagle — provides service from Gypsum and Eagle to Vail, with stops in Edwards and Avon. An important stop along this route is the Eagle County Airport, which generates visitors to the Vail area. Per the existing ECO Transit schedule, service to Ever Vail is expected to reach up to two runs per hour, during peak times. Minturn — provides direct service between Minturn and Vail. Given the existing schedule, Ever Vail is anticipated to be served by up to one run every hour during peak morning and afternoon times. Leadville — provides service from Leadville to Avon, with intermediate stops in Minturn, Eagle -Vail and Vail. It is expected that Ever Vail will be served by up to two runs per hour during peak afternoon times (morning service is prior to the beginning of the peak activity period at 7:00 AM). In addition, until the 2009 -10 winter season a Beaver Creek — Vail routes was also operated. While this route has been cut due to budget constraints, it can be expected that it will ultimately be reinstated. Ever Vail Impact on Val/ Transit Page 3 Reflecting the fact that the capacity of the scheduled bus service is frequently reached or exceeded, Vail Transit as well as ECO Transit currently employ "shadow" buses on many routes in order to provide adequate passenger capacity at peak load times. Also known as "piggyback" or "tripper" buses, these additional buses are added as a second bus on a single scheduled run. The use of shadow buses is a common occurrence in the peak winter season on the West Vail Red, West Vail Green and East Vail Routes on the Vail Transit system as well as on the ECO Transit Highway 6 and Gypsum /Eagle routes, provided largely inbound in the AM peak period as well as outbound in the PM peak period. Drivers in the AM peak period that notice their bus is reaching capacity will call the dispatcher, who will arrange for a shadow bus to be added at the next major stop and to serve the route into the Vail Transportation Center (VTRC). In the outbound direction, shadow buses are dispatched from the VRTC and serve the route until all passengers are dropped off. Impact on Existing Transit Services In -Town Route The impact of Ever Vail on the In -Town Route will consist of two factors: the need for additional capacity to accommodate peak loads, and the need to 41 operate additional services to accommodate the additional route running time while still attaining existing headway (time between departure) standards. Impact on Peak Passenger Loads Table A presents an analysis of the impact of Ever Vail on peak passenger loads for the Vail Transit service, focusing on the In -Town and West Vail Routes. For the In -Town Route, this analysis is comprised of the following steps: 1. Total skiing population generated by Ever Vail is taken from the 12/4/2009 memo prepared by Mauriello Planning Group, as summarized in Table B. This includes both residents /guests of Ever Vail, as well as skiers parking in the 400 spaces reserved for this use in Ever Vail. 2. To evaluate proportion of skiers generated by Ever Vail that would end their ski day at another portal (and thus would use Vail Transit services to return to Ever Vail), LSC obtained additional details regarding the skier transportation survey results from Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (attached), which identify the proportion of surveyed skiers that start their ski day at one location but end (i.e., were surveyed) at another: Ever Val/ Impact on Vail Transit Page 4 • Of all skiers starting at Lionshead, 22 percent ended at another location (16 percent at Vail Village and 6 percent at Golden Peak) • Of all skiers starting at Vail Village, 21 percent ended at another location (9 percent at Lionshead and 12 percent at Golden Peak) • Of all skiers starting at Golden Peak, 7 percent ended at another location (all at Vail Village) Departing skiers were also asked "How are you getting from here to your car, lodging, residence, or other means of pick -up ". Reported responses include "In -town Bus" as well as "Town Bus" both of which presumably refer to the Vail Transit service. By location, the results were: • Of all skiers starting at Lionshead, 30 percent will use Vail Transit at the end of the day. • Of all skiers starting at Vail Village, 31 percent will use Vail Transit at the end of the day. • Of all skiers starting at Golden Peak, 37 percent will use Vail Transit at the end of the day. This second set of figures includes persons lodged at one base area who chose to start their ski day at another, and thus is a better reflection of the proportion of Ever Vail skiers that would impact the Vail Transit program during the crucial end -of -ski -day period. The pattern seen at Lionshead is a good indication of the use pattern that can be expected of Ever Vail skier. Therefore, 30 percent of Ever Vail skiers are likely to use Vail Transit services around the end of the ski day to return to Ever Vail. Based on the survey results (and the relative attractiveness of the various portals regarding skiing conditions and apres ski, a reasonable distribution of these trips to the various other portals is that 6 percent of Ever Vail skiers would end at Golden Peak, 16 percent at Vail Village, and 8 percent at Lionshead. 3. Multiplying the number of skiers generated by Ever Vail by these proportions yields the number of skiers requiring transportation back to Ever Vail. As the peak load segment on the In -Town service is between Vail Village and Lionshead, only those skiers end their ski day at Vail Village or Golden Peak add to the peak capacity requirements for the In -Town Route. As shown, this is estimated to equal 422 skiers. Ever Val/ Impact on Vail Transit Page 5 4. The proportion of these skier trips occurring in the peak -hour varies with weather conditions, but is generally approximately 35 percent. (This figure is also consistent with the assumptions in the Vail Resorts'Ever Vail Traffic Impact Study (Kim ley Horn and Associates, Inc., 2009). Applying this figure, 148 additional skiers would need to be transported westbound to Ever Vail. 5. Non - skiers lodged or living at Ever Vail would also generate an increase in transit ridership. Per Table B, there will be a total of 140 employees living on site that are not skiing on any one day, as well as 336 hotel guests and other residents. Based on observed use of free transit services in similar resort communities, each employee will generate 0.10 transit trips during the PM peak -hour (such as for shopping or entertainment), while other residents will generate 0.20 transit - trips. Not all transit trips will be occurring in the peak westbound direction on the peak load link between Vail Village and Lionshead. Based on the location of trip attractions and travel patterns, it is estimated that 20 percent of employee trips will add to this peak load, along with 40 percent of guests /residents. In total, these non - skiers are estimated to add 30 passengers to the peak -hour In -Town route load in the peak direction on the peak load link. 6. In total, 178 additional peak -hour passengers will need to be served by the In -Town Route in the peak direction on the peak load. (The number of employees added to this figure that are commuting to Ever Vail from elsewhere would be minimal, given the time of day and the location of employee housing areas). 7. At a crush capacity of 50 skiers, 4 additional bus trips will need to be provided in the peak hour. Dividing this figure by the 35% of peak period ridership occurring in the peak hour (consistent with the hourly distribution of activity presented in the Ever Vail traffic study), an additional 11 transit vehicle -trips will need to be operated over the 3 PM to 6 PM peak period when additional buses are in operation. 8. With an average round -trip travel time of 30 minutes, 5.5 vehicle -hours of service will need to be operated. Two additional buses would be required for In -Town Route service. 9. The presence of Ever Vail would also impact the current pattern of "short turns" on the In -town Route during the PM peak period. At present, 2 to 4 westbound In -Town buses per hour are turned around at East Lionshead in order to provide more capacity between Golden Peak and Lionshead. Any passengers onboard that are destined to the Concert Hall Plaza area are Ever Vail Impact on Vail Transit Page 6 asked to transfer to another bus not making the short turn. This strategy is possible because the number of passengers needing to make this transfer is a relatively small proportion of the passengers westbound into Lionshead. With Ever Vail, this proportion will be significantly higher, and a larger proportion of buses will need to continue on past East Lionshead. It is estimated that 6 existing short-turn buses will need to be operated to Ever Vail each day, adding 10 minutes of running time to each. This will effectively require 1 additional bus -hour of service per day to offset the loss of capacity. In total, 6.5 additional vehicle -hours of In -Town service would be required per winter day. 10.Town staff indicates that the need for additional peak service occurs over the course of the ski season. Figure A presents ridership by day over the last ski season. Based on this data, it is estimated that the additional service to address Ever Vail impacts would be required between roughly December 20 and April 10 (or 111 days). Over the course of a season, this additional service will total 722 vehicle -hours of service. Impact on Running Time The In -town Route is not operated on a set schedule. Rather, buses are provided in order to attain a desired headway (average time between successive buses at each stop). An increase in the running time of the overall route can require that an additional bus be put into operation to maintain this desired headway. The increase in In -town Route running time associated with Ever Vail is calculated as follows: Average travel speed was based upon a review of existing In -Town Route running speeds. As shown in Table C, data was reviewed for two busy winter day PM peak periods. Not surprisingly, operating speeds (including boarding /deboarding time) are relatively low in the Village area and higher along the loop west of East Lionshead Circle. In this area, the average speed is 16.4 miles per hour, with the slowest observed speed of 11.9 mph. Based on this data, a reasonable planning speed (exclusive of additional loading /unloading time and intersection delay) is 15 mph. The extension in route length to serve Ever Vail will add approximately 930 feet to the current route length. At this speed, this corresponds to an increase in running time of 42 seconds. Ever Vail Impact on Val/ Transit Page 7 • Boarding /deboarding activity at Ever Vail is expected to be relatively heavy, compared with existing stops on this loop west of East Lionshead Circle. An additional 15 seconds is included. The revised route will pass through the South Frontage Road / Forest Road roundabout twice. Per the Kimley -Horn traffic study, this will add 16 seconds of delay. In total, serving Ever Vail will increase the running time by 73 seconds. A review of a sample of peak winter NextBus data indicates an average running time for the In -Town Route of 30.46 minutes. This indicates that serving Ever Vail will increase the route's running time by an average of 4.0 percent. NextBus data was also evaluated to identify route running times in for the other two operating seasons (Spring and Summer). Due to lower traffic levels and passenger activity, the average route travel time equals 23.45 minutes and 29.13 minutes in the Spring and Summer seasons, respectively. As the incremental time required to serve Ever Vail would also be reduced by these same factors, it is assumed that the 4 percent impact of Ever Vail service would remain constant in these other seasons. This 4 percent factor can be applied to the existing vehicle -hours of In -Town 1 0 service to estimate the additional hours required to address the running time needed to serve Ever Vail while resulting in no reduction in service to the existing In -Town Route service area. As shown in Table D. the Town currently operates a total of 71,806 round -trip runs of the In -Town Route over the course of a full year. Factored by the average running time by season, a total of 35,562 in- service vehicle -hours are operated each year. Expanding these hours by 4 percent to accommodate Ever Vail would require 1,422 annual vehicle -hours of service. overall Impact on Annual Vehicle -Hours of In -Town Route Service As some of the vehicle -hours needed to address running time would occur during the winter PM peak period when vehicle -hours would be added to address load capacity, it is necessary to adjust the running time impact figure to avoid double - counting. NextBus data for all In -Town runs over a busy winter day was reviewed to identify the proportion of running time problems occurring in the PM peak 3 -hour period. Of the 34 runs over the course of the day that arrived 2 minutes or more late, 31 were outside of the peak PM 3 -hour period. This indicates that 91.2 percent of the existing service that will require additional runs for running -time purposes occur outside of the period when additional service is needed for peak -load purposes. Given that the additional service to address load Ever Vail Impact on Vail Transit Page 8 impacts would also improve on -time performance during the winter PM period, it is appropriate to reduce the vehicle -hours required for running time by 8.8 percent. As also shown in Table D, the resulting total annual hours of additional In -Town Route service needed to address both running time and load capacity impacts of Ever Vail is 2,059 per year. Excluding fixed costs (such as facility and administrative costs) that would not vary with the quantity of service, the marginal cost of Vail Transit service is reported by Town Transit to currently be $50 per vehicle -hour. Multiplying by the annual vehicle -hours of service, the impact of Ever Vail would be to increase the cost of In -Town Route service by $102,950 per year. West Route A similar analysis was conducted for the West Route, as shown in Table E. Given that the Ever Vail transit center is directly along the route as well as the longer length of the route, it is assumed that the additional stop can be served within the existing available running time. Rather than skiers, the key increase in demand is expected to come from employees commuting to Ever Vail: 1. The net increase in employees on the Ever Vail site (over those already employed on the site) is expected to be 375. Subtracting those housed onsite, the total number of persons commuting to Ever Vail will increase by 235. 2. US Census data presented in the Longitudinal Employment Housing Dataset was reviewed to identify the proportion of employees that would be living along the West Vail route. As shown in Table F, 37 percent of persons employed in Vail in 2008 also lived in Vail. Based on the relative location of employee housing, it is estimated that two- thirds of these commuters would live along the West Vail Route. Factored by the proportion working on any one day (5 days of 7) and an estimated 66 percent employed during the day shift (and assuming that none arrive in winter by other modes), a total of 29 commuters would be added to the peak period peak directional West Vail transit load. 3. Ever Vail residents and guests (including employees housed on -site) would also use the West Vail route. While the use rates by employees would be relatively high (given the preponderance of local- serving land uses to the west of Ever Vail) the use rates by guests would be relatively low. Overall, 19 additional peak - direction peak - period passengers are estimated. Ever Val/ Impact on Vail Transit Page 9 4. Rounding the total peak period peak direction demand (48) divided by the crush capacity of a Vail Transit Bus (50), one additional round trip would be required in both the AM and the PM peak periods. With a 45- minute round trip running time, 1.5 hours of additional service would be needed per winter day. Multiplied by 111 winter days of additional service per year, 167 vehicle -hours would need to be added annually. At a marginal cost of $50 per hour, this equates to $8,350 in additional annual operating costs. One additional bus would also be needed at peak times. Total of Both Routes In total, Ever Vail would increase the annual operating cost of Vail Transit by $111,300. It would also require three additional peak transit vehicles in the Vail Transit fleet (two for the In -Town Route and one for the West Vail Route). These hybrid buses current cost $600,000 per unit. Annualized over the 13 year useful life, each unit incurs $46,154 per year in capital costs. Other Considerations The methodology presented in Table E regarding the impacts of commuting employees on the West Route can also be used to assess the impact on ECO 40 Transit commute ridership. As shown in Table F, 23 percent of persons employed in Vail live in the ECO Transit service area to the west of Vail. Multiplied by the 235 net new employees, 54 additional employees would be housed along the ECO Transit routes. Assuming employees are prohibited from driving, each employee works 5 days per week, and 2 /3rds work during the day shift, ECO Transit will need to accommodate an additional 25 transit passengers (or a half bus load) in both the AM and the PM commute periods. It should be noted that this analysis does not include the effects of any charter bus parking at Ever Vail. If this were to occur in the future, it can be expected that persons arriving by charter bus would use local transit services to /from Ever Vail, such as to access the Village or to complete a ski trip that ends at a different portal. This demand in particular would add to the peak - period peak - direction load on the In -Town Route on the peak load segment, to the degree that charter bus skiers would choose to end their ski day at Vail Village or Golden Peak. Another expected effect of Ever Vail is to shift the existing pattern of transit rider access to the ski area. The walk distance from the Town transit stop to a ski gondola is approximately 800 feet at Lionshead, and about 1,200 feet in the Village. In comparison, the walk distance at Ever Vail will be roughly 600 feet. It will also be the closest major ski portal for persons living or lodged west of Ever Val/ Impact on Vail Transit Page 10 Ever Vail along the south side of I -70. Some skiers using the West Vail Green Route to access the ski area and the West Vail Red Route to return at the end of the day will shift from using Lionshead or Vail Village to instead using Ever Vail. As the peak load point on the West Vail Route is west of Ever Vail, however, this shift will not materially change the service level required on the West Vail Route. Finally, the In -Town Route serves as backup transportation capacity in case a change in weather or a mechanical issue requires a mid -day closure of the Ever Vail Gondola and the requirement that all Ever Vail skiers exit at a different portal and shuttle back to Ever Vail. The methodology presented in Table A was applied to assess this impact, as shown in Table G. It was assumed that 2/3 of the additional skiers would choose to end at Lionshead and the remaining 1/3 at Vail Village, and that all "short turn" runs would be extended to Ever Vail to accommodate the change in passenger loads. As indicated, this would require 20 additional full round -trips over the course of the PM peak period. Two additional buses would be needed, and the daily cost of additional service would be $405 over and above the previously stated additional operating costs. Ever Vail Impact on Vail Transit Page 11 APPENDIX: Skier Survey Crosstabs of Ski Day Start Location versus Ski Day End (Survey) Location 0 C7 co to op M b M N O O O O U ai 'S N 7 O J O O M m N U) m a _ 0 0 m o o 0 N m (,� LL ' '- O) CD (A W M O M O vo S UQ I o 0 � U C8 CIL ZO O 6 I •to vc! CL c a. f C y A Y J W QC7 M b M O I moo � 2' >O m p Y O O C'. OW �oo N O N O � (,� LL ' '- l0 g Z �vo o vo S Z Go O o lO N N Q Z O O w O W co m 10 N( D '*m of c a. f 2' >O p Y O O C'. 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D W J W D W J H H W Q O w 3m 2 a m w� H to J H Ir a,, W H Z TABLE A: IncreageYn In -Town Passenger Loads IMPACT ON TRANSIT DEMAND -- In -Town Shuttle W Service to Address Ever SKIERS Number of Skiers Starting at Ever Vail Lodging Guests /Residents (See Table B) Parking at Ever Vail 400 Spaces X Total 2.6 Skiers/Space = Percent Skiers Starting the Day at Ever Vail and Ending at Other Portals Lionshead Vail Village Golden Peak Total Number Westbound on Peak Load Segment between Lionshead and Vail Village Percent of Skiers Returning to Ever Vail in Peak PM Hour Impact on Peak Hour Load on Peak Load Segment NON - SKIERS Number of Non -Skier Guests /Residents at Ever Vail Employees Housed at Ever Vail Other Residents/Guests Proportion Making In -Town Transit Trips in Peak Hour Employees Housed at Ever Vail Other Residents/Guests 8% 16% 6% 30% 35% Additional 877 Skie 10 iers 1917 Skiers 153 307 115 575 422 148 Passengers 140 Persons 336 Persons 10% /o 2 Proportion of Transit Trips on Peak Load Link in Peak Load Direction (WB Between Village and Lionshead) Employees Housed at Ever Vail 20% Other Residents /Guests 40% Passengers Westbound Between Vail Village and Lionshead Employees Housed at Ever Vail Other Residents/Guests Total Total Impact on # Passengers Westbound Between Vail Village and Lionshead in Pk Hr Peak Crush Capacity per Transit Vehicle Required Additional In -Town Transit Trips per Peak Hour Proportion of 3 -Hour Peak Period Ridership in Peak Hour Additional Round Trips Required per Day Average Round -Trip Running Time 30 Minutes or Additional Daily Hours of Service Existing Short -Turn Buses Extended to Ever Vail Round -Trips per Day Additional Running Time 10 Minutes or Additional Daily Hours of Service Total Additional Daily Hours of Service Days per Ski Season Annual Additional Hours of Service 3 Passengers 27 Passengers 30 Passengers 178 Passengers 50 Passengers 4 Trips 35% 11 Trips 0.5 Hours 5.5 Hours 6 0.17 Hours 1.00 Hours 6.5 111 Days 722 Hours TABLE B: Ever Vail Population Employee Hotel Housing Rooms Residential Dwelling Units Total Units -- 120 358 Bedrooms -- 1 2.5 Pillows per Room -- 2.5 2 Total Pillows 215 300 1790 2305 • Rented 0.95 0.74 0.74 • Occupied 0.95 0.75 0.75 • Skiing 0.28 0.71 0.71 Skier Population 54 118 705 877 Non-Skier Population 140 48 288 476 Source: Mauriello Planning Group memo dated 12/4/9, email dated 6115/10 1 7�� 0 M I- r O r M O r O LA It 0 N r r eZr r r r N r't Ln LLB to U) d r r In It It to r It r It N 0) Cr) U') ` P- rttOqt qt000tnOO 23 L N ` - O M CM M M m M qt C') C') N N M M MqT M M CM co co 00 O O O O O O O O O O C O O O O O O O O r O O t ' N C U CU `= U U - C o O rNLprCAOOInCMMrCMMLACOe CA CM 00 M N It '9t Cl) N It M N N O N M o I r MI;t Lo LO M r M O (u 0O 0) ci 00000000(P 0000000000 - aj O o) O 000000 a 000C)00000000 O CL O = .J t6 W f- U CU C W V C ' L_ C U -p 'q' 0 It CA U) '4' LM M O 00 r O Ln N 00 MLO to LnNrIt Cl) O;tr0NrM0 V)MN LO MO M CO T O 0 E3: N O O O O O O O O O o o O r 0 0 Cl Cl 0 0 r r r r O y O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O CU 0) 0 O J m V E > C 0rWoNOpI-COMOT- � rr�t�MM CA N O N M'd:�r0Or OMMMNNrNOt M N p r C ~ 0 O pe n 00 r lo,- r Or - v , r- '+ O C 00000000000000000a 6 O N J � c W O Q C � oU j C Cp O Lnr- N0NOO1- fl- O Itvt -r- LnON ti M N CO r 0 In C) r r N r r r r r N M O r It CO N 0 O T L6 rr00000�T7�00T CL 00�77�77 �0O' 0 0 0 OCj OOC)C)C)00000 CjOCj0000 O � J � C O E I-- OMNp�04 v) tPcor- - tOOr001` C ~ MN 7 " L R " 1 p 9 N9 �q9 7t M !trMCM C 04 O0) CO0 r- V) 700r V 0 W U �. Or rM�d U)0r NN rrr C7 Lo C) CL 3 V? 2 O W w a N E E_ m V mrnrnrnrnrnrnrnrnrn0)rnrnrn0)rnrnrn_. -. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ U) CL z W 4? NNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN 0 O O E W \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \\\ \\ \\\\ a) CU m E J D aoa0ao0o0oao0o0o0000000000000 U p_ ,CL : U N N N N N N N N N N N M M M M E N NNNNNNNN C�NC� (�CC i CD N 0) Cc 0 Q r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r C C Q i5 Q Q V} E-1 El- O c m •,� Q�W OO ^ tiN o MNLp C � a) p � j �j�d_ M1,OtnN a 0= 00 NCO Q 'p V_ C/) •� Q L O m C E ' cu N C `7 'C 00 y U C (L = C of a 0 3 a a cc Q > O to N O co t > r.. cc w 0) - 1 L O O O) C = t � N�O(� N ` C Q di °cj d 4) 4) Q w' ly F - CL > cO�NN C Q > 0 Q uJ E O N w � o Z 3 Ou, :6 a a ?m E a� w ;_r C (/ 7 co CO 'a3 � U O V Q X� W IT N t-- E a) O O' tl C F _C J O U) C Y r% C v7 f0 m '►- C 3 y O `0 0 CL • O Q 2 a 7 p `O O O � CL ~ O O C7 O 3 = C T- CV) an d 0 O O L _ C U 7 (d 7 V t~ E m 0. m Cr O Cr ._ d C aj 0 �> C 0) C > U- � O, . N� Q O w _ 2: ° ` W C w O ° = 00 C -J C CI N E C C C fa W C ` CL E o O O O Q C iv — 7 Q N �i � c C~ 4) - 0 N "C O O C d Qw< < TABLE E: Analysis of Impact on Vail Transit West Vail Route EMPLOYEES COMMUTING TO EVER VAIL Total Increase in Persons Employed at Ever Vail Site 375 Employees Employees Housed On Site 140 Residents Increase in Employees Commuting to Ever Vail Site 235 Commuters Proportion Living in Vail Along West Vail Route 26% Proportion Working on Any Given Day 71% Proportion With Commute Times In Peak West Route Activity Periods 66% Total Increase in West Vail Ridership per Commute Period 29 2 -Way Psgrs EVER VAIL RESIDENTS AND GUESTS Number of Non -Skier Guests/Residents at Ever Vail Employees Housed at Ever Vail 140 Persons Other Residents /Guests 336 Persons Proportion Making West Vail Transit Trips in Peak Period Employees Housed at Ever Vail 25% Other Residents /Guests 10% Proportion of Transit Trips on Peak Load Link in Peak Load Direction Employees Housed at Ever Vail 25% Other Residents /Guests 30% Passengers on Peak Load Link in Peak Load Direction Employees Housed at Ever Vail 9 Passengers Other Residents/Guests 10 Passengers Total 19 Passengers Total Impact on # Passengers Westbound Between Vail Village and Lionshead in Pk Hr 48 Peak Crush Capacity per Transit Vehicle 50 Passengers Required Additional In -Town Transit Trips per Peak Hour 1 Trips Proportion of 3 -Hour Peak Period Ridership in Peak Hour 35% Additional Round Trips Required per Day (Both Commute Periods) 2 Trips Average Round -Trip Running Time 45 Minutes or 0.75 Hours Additional Daily Hours of Service 1.5 Hours Days per Ski Season 111 Days Annual Additional Hours of Service 167 Hours Marginal Cost per Vehicle -Hour of Service $ 50.00 Annual Increase in In -Town Operating Costs $ 8,350 Total Annual Impact on Vail Transit Operating Costs $ 111,300 , r rU p �11 TABLE F: Residential Location of Vail Employees 2008 Residential Location Count Share Vail town, CO 2,707 39.7% Edwards CDP, CO 269 3.9% Avon town, CO 151 2.2% Eagle town, CO 111 1.6% Gypsum town, CO 94 1.4% Other Eagle County, CO 570 8.4% Leadville city, CO 234 3.4% Leadville North CDP, CO 128 1.9% Other Lake County, CO 136 2.0% Garfield County, CO 247 3.6% Summit County, CO 119 1.7% Denver city, CO 270 4.0% Aurora city, CO 127 1.9% Lakewood city, CO 101 1.5% All Other Locations 1,554 38.5% Total Primary Jobs 6,818 100.0% Total West of Vail in ECO Transit Service Area 1,565 23.0% Source: US Census Bureau, LEHD OnTheMap Origin - Destination Database �11 TABLE G: Analysis of Impact on Vail Transit In -Town Service Assuming Mid -Day Closure of Ever Vail Gondola IMPACT ON TRANSIT DEMAND — In -Town Shuttle SKIERS Number of Skiers Starting at Ever Vail Lodging Guests /Residents (See Table B) 877 Skiers Parking at Ever Vail 400 Spaces X 2.6 Skiers/Space = 1040 Skiers Total 1917 Skiers Percent Skiers Starting the Day at Ever Vail and Ending at Other Portals Lionshead (2/3 of Additional Skiers Assumed to Shift Here) 55% 1048 Vail Village (1/3 of Additional Skiers Assumed to Shift Here) 39% 754 Golden Peak 6% 115 Total 100% 1917 Number Westbound on Peak Load Segment between Lionshead and Vail Village 869 Percent of Skiers Returning to Ever Vail in Peak PM Hour 35% Impact on Peak Hour load on Peak Load Segment 304 Passengers NON - SKIERS Number of Non -Skier Guests/Residents at Ever Vail Employees Housed at Ever Vail 140 Persons Other Residents/Guests 336 Persons Proportion Making In -Town Transit Trips in Peak Hour Employees Housed at Ever Vail 10% Other Residents/Guests 20% Proportion of Transit Trips on Peak Load Link in Peak Load Direction (WB Between Village and Lionshead) Employees Housed at Ever Vail 20% Other Residents/Guests 40% Passengers Westbound Between Vail Village and Lionshead Employees Housed at Ever Vail Other Residents/Guests Total Total Impact on # Passengers Westbound Between Vail Village and Lionshead in Pk Hr Peak Crush Capacity per Transit Vehicle Required Additional In -Town Transit Trips per Peak Hour Proportion of 3 -Hour Peak Period Ridership in Peak Hour Additional Round Trips Required per Day Average Round -Trip Running Time 20 Minutes or Additional Daily Hours of Service Existing Short-Turn Buses Extended to Ever Vail Round -Trips per Day Additional Running Time 10 Minutes or Additional Daily Hours of Service Total Additional Daily Hours of Service Days per Ski Season Annual Additional Hours of Service Marginal Cost per Vehicle -Hour of Service Daily Cost in In -Town Operating Costs Annual Increase in In -Town Operating Costs 3 Passengers 27 Passengers 30 Passengers 334 Passengers 50 Passengers 7 Trips 35% 20 Trips 0.33 Hours 6.6 Hours 9 0.17 Hours 1.50 Hours 8.1 111 Days 899 Hours $ 50.00 $ 405.00 $ 44,950.00 :7 v .OLOZIZNN n O LOZ/B/b rte:_ O LOZJ6Z/C 0 LOZ/ZZ/£ c O LOZ/B NS 0 C 0 LOZ/8/fi N A O 7 OLOZ/L/£ N o C O LOZ/ZZ/Z m OLOZ/BL2 W L } d {L C OLOZ/L/Z L (p OLOZAM Q m L OLOML/L _p O LOZ/L L/L 01OM 600Z/8Z/Z1 600ZILZIZL _... 600Z V VZ L 0 0 o 07 f0 < N O GO C6 N df4amP!a