HomeMy WebLinkAbout10. Vail_Prod_Notes_6-30-2019Copyright (c) 2019, Sterling Valley Systems All Rights Reserved.
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Data as of: 06/30/2019
Vail Production Notes
RAO PRODUCTION NOTES:
General RAO Notes:
➢ All months on the books are showing an increase in inventory, except September, compared to last year at this
time.
o June: +3,836 RNA or +128 units per day
o July: +2,460 RNA or +79 units per day
o August: +1,498 RNA or +48 units per day
o September: -261 RNA or -9 units per day
o October: +1,057 RNA or +34 units per day
o November: +3,418 RNA or +114 units per day
o December: +2,423 RNA or +78 units per day
➢ On the books occupancy is down -8.69% (-5.55% last month) over last year, while historic actual occupancy is
down -0.67% (+3.71% last month) over last year
➢ On the books ADR is up +1.11% (-0.76% last month) over last year, while historic actual ADR is up +0.74% (-2.4%
last month) over last year
➢ On the books RevPAR is down -7.67% (-6.18% last month) over last year while historic actual RevPAR is up
+0.07% (+1.22% last month) over last year
Summer Season:
➢ June gained +5.5% as an absolute measure of occupancy in June
o Bookings made in June for June are down -2.2% in absolute variance vs those made last year in June for
June
➢ July gained +9% as an absolute measure of occupancy in June
o Bookings made in June for July are down -3.7% in absolute variance vs those made last year in June for
July
➢ August gained +5.3% as an absolute measure of occupancy in June
o Bookings made in June for August are down -4.8% in absolute variance vs those made last year in June
for August
➢ September gained +2.7% as an absolute measure of occupancy in June
o Bookings made in June for September are down -1.1% in absolute variance vs those made last year in
June for September
➢ October gained +0.4% as an absolute measure of occupancy in June
o Bookings made in June for October are down -1.6% in absolute variance vs those made last year in June
for October
➢ As a measure of RevPAR summer season is now down -12.71% (-7.8% last month) compared to last year as of
June 30, 2018
➢ As a measure of ADR summer season is now down -0.41% (+0.94% last month) compared to last year as of June
30, 2018
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Communications@Inntopia.com
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➢ As a measure of Occupancy summer season is now down -12.36% (-7.39% last month) compared to last year as
of June 30, 2018
➢ August and October are the only months showing an occupancy gain over last summer season
➢ There are no months showing ADR gains over last summer season
Winter Season:
➢ November gained +0.5% as an absolute measure of occupancy in June
o Bookings made in June for November are even in absolute variance vs those made last year in June for
November
➢ December is now on the books, showing 12.84% occupancy, up +29.86% over last year at this time.
➢ As a measure of RevPAR, winter season is now up +4.51% (-35.1% last month) compared to last year as of June
30, 2018
➢ As a measure of ADR, winter season is now down -4.32% (+5.62% last month) compared to last year as of June
30, 2018
➢ As a measure of Occupancy, winter season is now up +9.23% (-38.55% last month) compared to last year as of
June 30, 2018
DOR PRODUCTION NOTES:
June:
➢ June closed the month with only 2 days outperforming last year.
o Inventory increases played a small factor in the underperformance, but there was additionally a
decrease in bookings on most days of the month.
o The GoPro Mountain Games brought one of the two days of outperformance for the month.
▪ The event actualized with 6/5 being equivalent with last year, 6/6 having an increase over last
year, and 6/7 and 6/8 underperformed last year.
o June experienced small increases in inventory that are consistent across the month.
July:
➢ July is seeing some outperformances around Independence Day, as well as from the 19th to the 24th.
o The beginning of the month has seen some decline since the last report.
o Underperformances noticed from the 10th to 18th have decreased their variance slightly since last report.
o The period around the 25th of the month has stayed stagnant since the last report.
o The 4th of July is currently up +15.89% over last year and has noticed an increase in bookings since the
last report.
o Inventory has experienced small increases over last year.
August:
➢ August is still underperforming last year for the majority of the month
o The largest losses have been noticed around the 15th and the 28th, a trend that has been prominent for 3
report cycles now. The downtrend around the 15th has yet again grown since the last report.
o Small declines since last report have been noted for every week of the month.
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Confidential Information not for reproduction and protected by law.
Communications@Inntopia.com
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o Inventory is slightly down over last year throughout the month.
September:
➢ September has experienced very little activity since the last report, a trend that has been noticed for the past 2
reports, with changes noticed around the first 2 weeks of the month.
o The only gains since last report are noticed on the 8th and 9th of the month and have decreased slightly
since the last report.
o The largest losses are around the 22nd of the month and have stayed stagnant for the last 3 reports.
o Inventory is almost equivalent with last year throughout the month.
October:
➢ October has seen little change since the last report, as the majority of the month is equivalent with last year’s
performance.
o There are outperformances noticed around the 4th-8th, 19th – 22nd, and around Halloween.
o Inventory is very slightly down over last year.
November:
➢ November has experienced little activity for the month. Since it is 4 months out, we expect to see more
bookings fill in during the coming months.
o The most pronounced outperformance is on the 6th, up +3.39% (+2.69% last report) over last year.
o Inventory has increased slightly over last year.
December:
➢ December has just come on the books and is showing outperformances around the first week and the last 2
weeks of the month.
o The largest outperformances are noticed at the end of the month.
o Inventory has increased slightly versus last year.