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HomeMy WebLinkAboutVail_Production_Notes_05-15-2020Copyright (c) 2020, Sterling Valley Systems All Rights Reserved. Confidential Information not for reproduction and protected by law. Communications@Inntopia.com www.Inntopia.com Data as of: 05/15/2020 Vail Production Notes CV-19 CLOSURES NOTES: ➢ There are currently 16 properties closed due to COVID-19. These properties' closure dates range from April 1 - May 31 with some properties planning to reopen in May o Arrabelle at Vail Square o Christiania Lodge o Destination Resorts Vail o Four Seasons Resort Vail o Grand Hyatt Vail o Lodge Tower o Sitzmark Lodge o Sonnenalp Resort of Vail o The Wren o Tivoli Lodge o Vail International Condos o Vail Mountain Lodge o Vail Residences at Cascade Village o Vail Spa Condos o Vail Marriott o Ritz-Carlton Residences DOR PRODUCTION NOTES: General DOR Notes: ➢ *Due to new property management system data migration issues at each property, Arrabelle at Vail Square, The Lodge at Vail, and the Ritz-Carlton Residences have not been included in this report. Once these issues have been resolved we will restate the 05/15 report, contingent on receiving the 05/15 data sets from the 3 properties in question.* ➢ Since the last report (04/30), bookings activity for May 1st through November 30th has yielded a net of -12,120 or 12,120 cancellations. This level of net booking activity has doubled from the last report (-6,752). ➢ As the net activity still remains negative, pointing towards the continued trend of cancellation prevalence, the increase away from 0 in net booking activity indicates that there has been a large change in regards to increases in cancellations, or an uptick in cancellation behavior, and tells us that the market has not settled on a trend in either direction yet. o *It is important to consider that when we observe net statistics these numbers take into account a summation of both bookings and cancellations as both types of activity were noted since the last report. Copyright (c) 2020, Sterling Valley Systems All Rights Reserved. Confidential Information not for reproduction and protected by law. Communications@Inntopia.com www.Inntopia.com May ➢ Since the last report, May only has 1 day where the net booking activity is negative, indicating that there has been a change in consumer behavior for the month o There are -11,068 (-10,168 last report) less bookings than last year at this time o Average daily performance experienced slight decline to -14.7% (-14% last report) and is characterized not by the loss of bookings since the last report, but the net loss versus the bookings gained last year around this time o Since the last report, -3 (-152 last report) bookings have been cancelled for the month o Memorial Day Weekend is on average down -16.3% (-12.3% last report) with a total of -1,211 (-877 last report) less bookings over last year at this time o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 1st with -3 bookings cancelled o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 13th with +119 bookings added o Inventory is lower than last year for the entire month June ➢ June experienced a positive net booking activity only on the first 4 days of the month while the rest of the month continued to experience high cancellations volume o There are -27,494 (-22,980 last report) less bookings than last year at this time o June’s average daily performance is -37.2% (-30.9% last report) o Since the last report, -2,355 (-1,730 last report) bookings have been cancelled for the month o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 27th, with -274 bookings cancelled o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 1st, with +15 bookings added o Inventory is lower than last year for the entire month July ➢ July continues to experience heavy cancellations volume, indicating that consumers are less optimistic about traveling during the month o There are -18,578 (-11,008 last report) less bookings than last year at this time o Since the last report, there have been -5,562 (-1,854 last report) bookings for the month o July’s average daily performance is -22.2% (-14.7% last report) o The 4th of July is currently down -22.4% (-13.4% last report) with -606 (-324 last report) less bookings over last year at this time o There are no days outperforming last year o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 15th, with -281 bookings cancelled o No days had a net addition of bookings o Inventory is lower than last year for the entire month Copyright (c) 2020, Sterling Valley Systems All Rights Reserved. Confidential Information not for reproduction and protected by law. Communications@Inntopia.com www.Inntopia.com August ➢ August has only 1 day outperforming last year as large cancellation volume continues for the month o There are -7,744 (-2,605 last report) less bookings than last year at this time o Average daily performance fell to -7.8% (-3.8% last report) o Since the last report, there have been -3,090 (-2,027 last report) bookings for the month o The largest outperformance was on the 2nd, up +0.4 (+4.3% last report) and has now shifted to the 27th, up +5.2% over last year at this time o The largest underperformance was on 14th, down -27.6% (-18.8% last report) over last year at this time o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 21st, with -218 bookings cancelled o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 31st, with +27 bookings added o Inventory is lower than last year for the entire month September ➢ September has experienced some positive growth as average daily performance increased to -2.3% (-2.5% last report) o There are -3,372 (-1,524 last report) less bookings than last year at this time o Since the last report, there have been -1,545 (-1,953 last report) bookings for the month o The largest outperformance is on the 14th up +16.1% (+8.4% last report) over last year at this time o The largest underperformance is on the 7th, down -25.0% (-24.3% last report) over last year at this time o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 19th, with -231 bookings cancelled o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 1st, with +29 bookings added o Inventory is lower than last year for the entire month October ➢ October is experiencing a much smaller cancelation volume than most months included and currently has 12 days outperforming last year o There are -2,353 (-1,661 last report) less bookings than last year at this time o Average daily performance improved to -2.2% (-3.0% last report) o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 1st, with -292 bookings cancelled o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 5th, with +11 bookings added o The largest outperformance is on the 9th, up +6.8% (+6.7% last report) over last year at this time o The largest underperformance is on the 19th, down -12.9% (-19.3% last report) compared to last year at this time o Inventory is lower than last year for the entire month Copyright (c) 2020, Sterling Valley Systems All Rights Reserved. Confidential Information not for reproduction and protected by law. Communications@Inntopia.com www.Inntopia.com November ➢ November is now on the books and is slightly underperforming last year with an average daily performance of - 0.3% o There are -507 less bookings than last year at this time o The largest outperformance is on the 14th, up +3.1% over last year at this time o The largest underperformance is on the 6th, down -6.9% over last year at this time o Inventory is lower than last year for the entire month