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HomeMy WebLinkAbout11. Vail Reservation Activity Outlook as of 2021-03-31Executive Summary Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 Executive Summary Data based on a sample of up to 27 properties in the Vail destination, representing up to 2563 Units ('DestiMetrics Census'*) and 67.51% of 3797 total units in the Vail destination ('Destination Census'**) Last Month Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD 2020/21 2019/20 Year over Year % Variance Vail Occupancy for last month (Mar) changed by (110.6%)Occupancy (Mar) :66.4%31.5%110.6% Vail ADR for last month (Mar) changed by (-4.2%)ADR (Mar) :$ 543 $ 566 -4.2% Vail RevPAR for last month (Mar) changed by (101.9%)RevPAR (Mar) :$ 360 $ 178 101.9% Next Month Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD Vail Occupancy for next month (Apr) changed by (2807.7%)Occupancy (Apr) :21.7%0.7%2,807.7% Vail ADR for next month (Apr) changed by (186.1%)ADR (Apr) :$ 355 $ 124 186.1% Vail RevPAR for next month (Apr) changed by (8219.5%)RevPAR (Apr) :$ 77 $ 1 8,219.5% Historical past 6 months Month Actual Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD Vail Occupancy for the past 6 months changed by (-3.0%)Occupancy 46.3%47.7%-3.0% Vail ADR for the past 6 months changed by (-7.3%)ADR $ 480 $ 517 -7.3% Vail RevPAR for the past 6 months changed by (-10.0%)RevPAR $ 222 $ 247 -10.0% Future 6 Month On The Books Performance: Current YTD vs. Previous YTD Vail Occupancy for the furture 6 months changed by (22.7%)Occupancy 17.7%14.5%22.7% Vail ADR for the future 6 months changed by (22.5%)ADR $ 315 $ 257 22.5% Vail RevPAR for the future 6 months changed by (50.3%)RevPAR $ 56 $ 37 50.3% Incremental Pacing - % Variance in Rooms Booked last Calendar Month: Mar 31, 2021 vs. Previous Year Rooms Booked during last month (Mar,21) compared to Rooms Booked during the same period last year (Mar,20) for all arrival dates has changed by (-188.0%)Booking Pace (Mar)7.0%-7.9%-188.0% * Inntopia Census: Total number of rooms reported by participating Inntopia properties as available for short-term rental in the reporting month. This number can vary monthly as inventories and report participants change over time. ** Destination Census: The total number of rooms available for rental within the community as established by the and adjusted for properties that have opened / closed since that time. This number varies infrequently as new properties start, or existing properties cease operations. DESCRIPTION: The Reservation Activity Outlook Report tracks occupancy, average daily rate (ADR), and revenue per available room (RevPAR); the key metrics most of interest to lodging properties. The report combines the data sets of participating properties into a destination wide view that features three data sets (providing that sufficient information is available) including: i)current YTD occupancy, ii) last YTD occupancy, iii) last season's ending occupancy. The Reservation Activity Outlook Report is generated on a monthly basis, usually for a 12 month subscription period, and is created from data provided by a group of properties participating in a cooperative manner, and representing a valid set of data as a result. Report results are provided only to those properties who participate by submitting their data. Additionally, participating properties can order (on an a-la-carte basis) an individual report which shows the reservation activity of their property, measured against an aggregated set of competitive properties that they choose from amongst Inntopia's other participants. As is the case in all Inntopia data, all information provided by individual properties is strictly confidential, except when aggregated with other data and indistinguishable as a result. © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. No parts of this work may be reproduced in any form or by any means, graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping or information storage and retrieval systems - without the written permission of the copyright holder. Products that are referred to in this document may be either trademarks and/or registered trademarks of the respective owners. The publisher and the author make no claim to these Trademarks. While every precaution has been taken in the preparation of this document, the publisher and the author assume no responsibility for errors or omissions, or for damages resulting from the use of information contained in this document or from the use of programs and source code that may accompany it. In no event shall the publisher and the author be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damage caused or alleged to have been caused directly or indirectly by this document. Vail Paid Occupancy (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Average Daily Rate (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Variance in YTD Occupancy and ADR Res Activity Outlook 2020/21 vs 2019/20 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Paid Occupancy (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Average Daily Rate (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Variance in YTD Occupancy and ADR (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Paid Occupancy (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Average Daily Rate (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Variance in YTD Occupancy and ADR (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook 2020/21 vs 2019/20 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Vail Paid Occupancy Fill Analysis Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 *Based on providing complete pacing data within a given month of occupancy only. Results may differ from those presented elsewhere in report if property set differs. **Results for "Percent Variance in incremental fill" indicate how room nights booked during the month just ended compare to room nights booked during the same month in the prior year, for occupancy in the month just ended and for the upcoming five months (as well as the six-month period in total). These results provide an indication of the degree to which booking activity occurring during the month just ended was greater or less than booking activity occurring in the same month a year ago -- i.e. a measure of the strength of booking activity occurring during the month just ended. Vail Paid Occupancy (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Occ Rate: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy Occ Rate as of Mar 31, 2021 Occ Rate as of Mar 31, 2020 Occ Percent Variance in YTD Occ Rate Historic Actual Occ Rate # of Properties in sample Oct 20 29.7%31.1%-4.7%28 Nov 20 24.9%28.0%-11.0%28 Dec 20 45.5%56.5%-19.4%28 Jan 21 49.6%64.4%-23.0%28 Feb 21 60.3%74.0%-18.6%28 Mar 21 66.4%31.5%110.6%27 Apr 21 21.7%0.7%2807.7%1.5%27 May 21 4.8%1.3%283.2%4.1%27 Jun 21 17.1%19.2%-11.0%13.3%27 Jul 21 29.7%25.2%18.1%44.1%27 Aug 21 19.2%22.0%-12.7%48.8%27 Sep 21 13.6%17.5%-22.3%39.9%27 Grand Total 32.1%31.2%2.8%36.7%28 Historical Months Total 46.3%47.7%-3.0%47.7%462,799 On the Books Total 17.7%14.5%22.7%25.5%27 Vail Average Daily Rate (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Average Daily Rate: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy ADR as of Mar 31, 2021 ADR as of Mar 31, 2020 ADR Percent Variance in YTD Adr Rate Historic Actual ADR # of Properties in sample Oct 20 $217.32 $180.47 20.4%28 Nov 20 $262.21 $215.53 21.7%28 Dec 20 $554.03 $632.64 -12.4%28 Jan 21 $495.61 $569.39 -13.0%28 Feb 21 $552.28 $610.42 -9.5%28 Mar 21 $542.58 $566.10 -4.2%27 Apr 21 $355.17 $124.13 186.1%$98.40 27 May 21 $207.76 $147.06 41.3%$133.27 27 Jun 21 $280.95 $242.95 15.6%$215.27 27 Jul 21 $352.27 $289.69 21.6%$288.65 27 Aug 21 $311.61 $270.06 15.4%$271.37 27 Sep 21 $255.51 $221.82 15.2%$248.64 27 Grand Total $ 434 $ 457 -5.0%$ 429 28 Historical Months Total $ 480 $ 517 -7.3%$ 517 28 On the Books Total $ 315 $ 257 22.5%$ 261 27 Vail Revenue Per Available Room (Most Recent Data) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com RevPAR Rate: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy RevPAR as of Mar 31, 2021 RevPAR as of Mar 31, 2020 RevPAR Percent Variance in YTD RevPAR Rate Historic Actual RevPAR # of Properties in sample Oct 20 $64.51 $56.20 14.8%28 Nov 20 $65.37 $60.35 8.3%28 Dec 20 $252.20 $357.13 -29.4%28 Jan 21 $245.78 $366.79 -33.0%28 Feb 21 $333.04 $452.00 -26.3%28 Mar 21 $360.32 $178.50 101.9%27 Apr 21 $77.12 $0.93 8219.5%$1.44 27 May 21 $9.99 $1.84 441.3%$5.40 27 Jun 21 $48.05 $46.70 2.9%$28.54 27 Jul 21 $104.70 $72.91 43.6%$127.28 27 Aug 21 $59.79 $59.37 0.7%$132.32 27 Sep 21 $34.76 $38.84 -10.5%$99.29 27 Grand Total $ 139 $ 143 -2.3%$ 157 28 Historical Months Total $ 222 $ 247 -10.0%$ 247 28 On the Books Total $ 56 $ 37 50.3%$ 66 27 Vail Data Tables (Winter-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Winter Bookings: Revenue Per Available Room: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy RevPAR as of Mar 31, 2021 RevPAR as of Mar 31, 2020 Percent Variance in YTD RevPAR Historic Actual RevPAR # of Properties in sample Nov 20 $65.37 $60.35 8.3%28 Dec 20 $252.20 $357.13 -29.4%28 Jan 21 $245.78 $366.79 -33.0%28 Feb 21 $333.04 $452.00 -26.3%28 Mar 21 $360.32 $178.50 101.9%27 Apr 21 $77.12 $0.93 8219.5%$1.44 27 Winter Total $ 224 $ 238 -5.7%$ 238 28 Winter Bookings: Average Daily Rate: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy ADR as of Mar 31, 2021 ADR as of Mar 31, 2020 Percent Variance in YTD Adr Rate Historic Actual ADR # of Properties in sample Nov 20 $262.21 $215.53 21.7%28 Dec 20 $554.03 $632.64 -12.4%28 Jan 21 $495.61 $569.39 -13.0%28 Feb 21 $552.28 $610.42 -9.5%28 Mar 21 $542.58 $566.10 -4.2%27 Apr 21 $355.17 $124.13 186.1%$98.40 27 Winter Total $ 498 $ 556 -10.4%$ 555 28 Winter Bookings: Occ Rate: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy Occ Rate as of Mar 31, 2021 Occ Rate as of Mar 31, 2020 Occ Percent Variance in YTD Occ Rate Historic Actual Occ Rate # of Properties in sample Nov 20 24.9%28.0%-11.0%28 Dec 20 45.5%56.5%-19.4%28 Jan 21 49.6%64.4%-23.0%28 Feb 21 60.3%74.0%-18.6%28 Mar 21 66.4%31.5%110.6%27 Apr 21 21.7%0.7%2807.7%1.5%27 Winter Total 45.0%42.7%5.3%42.8%28 Vail Data Tables (Summer-to-date) Res Activity Outlook as of Mar 31, 2021 © 2021 Sterling Valley Systems, Inc. DBA Inntopia Inntopia's business practices, metrics, reports, systems and procedures and all subscriber data is CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION, and protected by law. Reproduction or distribution is prohibited. All individual Inntopia subscriber data is kept strictly confidential and displayed only when aggregated with other similar data and indistinguishable as a result. Inntopia, DestiMetrics@Inntopia.com Summer Bookings: Revenue Per Available Room: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy RevPAR as of Mar 31, 2021 RevPAR as of Mar 31, 2020 Percent Variance in YTD RevPAR Rate Historic Actual RevPAR # of Properties in sample May 21 $9.99 $1.84 441.3%$5.40 27 Jun 21 $48.05 $46.70 2.9%$28.54 27 Jul 21 $104.70 $72.91 43.6%$127.28 27 Aug 21 $59.79 $59.37 0.7%$132.32 27 Sep 21 $34.76 $38.84 -10.5%$99.29 27 Oct 21 Summer Total $ 52 $ 44 16.5%$ 79 27 Summer Bookings: Average Daily Rate: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy ADR as of Mar 31, 2021 ADR as of Mar 31, 2020 Percent Variance in YTD Adr Rate Historic Actual ADR # of Properties in sample May 21 $207.76 $147.06 41.3%$133.27 27 Jun 21 $280.95 $242.95 15.6%$215.27 27 Jul 21 $352.27 $289.69 21.6%$288.65 27 Aug 21 $311.61 $270.06 15.4%$271.37 27 Sep 21 $255.51 $221.82 15.2%$248.64 27 Oct 21 Summer Total $ 305 $ 258 18.1%$ 262 27 Summer Bookings: Occ Rate: YTD 2020/21 VS. YTD 2019/20 Month of Occupancy Occ Rate as of Mar 31, 2021 Occ Rate as of Mar 31, 2020 Occupancy Percent Variance in YTD Occ Rate Historic Actual Occ Rate # of Properties in sample May 21 4.8%1.3%283.2%4.1%27 Jun 21 17.1%19.2%-11.0%13.3%27 Jul 21 29.7%25.2%18.1%44.1%27 Aug 21 19.2%22.0%-12.7%48.8%27 Sep 21 13.6%17.5%-22.3%39.9%27 Oct 21 Summer Total 17.0%17.2%-1.3%30.3%27