HomeMy WebLinkAbout11. Vail_Production_Notes_07-15-2020Copyright (c) 2020, Sterling Valley Systems All Rights Reserved.
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Data as of: 07/15/2020
Vail Production Notes
DOR PRODUCTION NOTES:
General DOR Notes:
➢ Average Daily Performance from July 1st, 2020 to January 31st, 2021 is currently down -11.1% (-14.4% last report)
compared to last year
➢ Since the last report (06/30), bookings activity for June 1st through December 31st has yielded a net of +13,101
or 13,101 bookings. This level of net booking activity has slightly decreased from the last report (+14,856).
➢ With two consecutive reports showing strong consumer demand, the trend of heavy cancellations experienced
in late winter / early summer months appears to have subsided for the moment. While changes in infection
rates, among other factors, can have a significant effect on bookings demand and cancellations, barring changes
in the local and state-wide public health restrictions, trends are starting to depict a return to seasonal booking
habits. There’s certainly large ground to make-up as July to January as a whole are down -55,241 in bookings
compared to last year, but with continued bookings momentum, and the release of pent-up-demand into the
marketplace, there is potential to create a strong booking base for the winter season.
o *It is important to consider that when we observe net statistics these numbers take into account a
summation of both bookings and cancellations as both types of activity were noted since the last report.
July
➢ July continued its trend of heavy short-lead bookings, improving average daily performance to -22.9% (-25.2%
last report)
o There are -16,582 (-21,211 last report) less bookings than last year at this time
o Since the last report, there have been net +7,475 (+7,524 last report) bookings for the month
o The 4th of July is currently up +1.4% (-0.7% last report) with +54 (-65 last report) more bookings over last
year at this time and has added 216 bookings since the last report
o There is one day outperforming last year, the 4th
o No days experienced a net cancellation of bookings since the last report
o The largest underperformance is on the 1st, down -40.9% over last year at this time
o The largest increase in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 18th, with +443 bookings added
o Inventory is slightly higher than last year for the entire month
August
➢ August was experiencing improvement in bookings fill for the last few reports, although bookings are seemingly
slowing down, and are much lower compared to the short-lead bookings noted last year, dropping average daily
performance to -18.2% (-17.0% last report)
o There are -13,158 (-14,285 last report) less bookings than last year at this time
o Only 5 days experienced a net decrease in bookings since the last report
o Since the last report, there have been net +3,125 (+3,740 last report) bookings for the month
o There are no days outperforming last year
o The largest underperformance is on the 10th, down -36.9% (-35.9% last report) over last year at this time
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o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 21st, with -139 bookings
cancelled
o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 7th, with +243 bookings added
o Inventory is slightly higher than last year for the entire month
September
➢ September is experiencing a degradation of performance, from the last report, as 12 days experienced net
cancellations, decreasing average daily performance to -12.9% (-10.6% last report)
o There are -9,027 (-8,622 last report) less bookings than last year at this time
o Since the last report, there have been net +428 (-811 last report) bookings for the month
o There are now no days outperforming last year
o The largest underperformance is on the 11th, down -33.4% (-26.3% last report) over last year at this time
o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 30th, with -131 bookings
cancelled
o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 24th, with +170 bookings added
o Inventory is slightly higher than last year for the entire month
October
➢ October continues to see little change in booking activity, though upticks in net cancellations have decreased
average daily performance to -4.6% (-4.2% last report)
o There are -3,213 (-3,343 last report) less bookings than last year at this time
o Halloween is currently down -2.9% (-2.4% last report) with -66 (-61 last report) less bookings over last
year at this time and has added 3 bookings since the last report
o Since the last report, there have been net +489 (-130 last report) bookings for the month
o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 13th, with -70 bookings
cancelled
o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 3rd, with +121 bookings added
o The largest outperformance was on the 30th, up +0.2% (+0.3% last report), and has now shifted to the
29th, up +1.5% over last year at this time
o The largest underperformance is on the 19th, down -13.4% (-12.5% last report) over last year at this time
o Inventory is slightly higher than last year for the entire month
November
➢ November, being a shoulder month, has experienced the least booking activity of all months, and now stands
further below last year’s performance
o There are -927 (-669 last report) less bookings than last year at this time
o Since the last report, there have been net +369 (+386 last report) bookings for the month
o Average daily performance has decreased to -1.4% (-0.8% last report)
o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 17th, with +46 bookings added
o The largest reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 30th, with -46 bookings
cancelled
o The largest outperformance was on the 30th, down -3.3% (+2.6% last report), and has now shifted to the
13th, up +1.7% over last year at this time
o The largest underperformance is on the 5th, down -7.9% (-7.4% last report) over last year at this time
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o Inventory is slightly higher than last year for the entire month
December
➢ While December only had 1 day experiencing net cancellations since the last report, bookings growth last year
thoroughly outpaced those this year, bringing average daily performance to -7.0% (-5.5% last report)
o There are -5,122 (-4,611 last report) less bookings than last year at this time
o Since the last report, there have been net +1,215 (+1,555 last report) bookings for the month
o Only 3 days are outperforming last year
o Christmas is currently down -15.2% (-12.4% last report) with -363 (-345 last report) less bookings than
last year at this time and has added 29 bookings since the last report
o New Years Eve is currently down -8.0% with -189 less bookings than last year at this time and has added
32 bookings since the last report
o The largest addition in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 12th, with +177 bookings added
o The only net reduction in bookings, since the last report, occurred on the 8th, with -45 bookings
cancelled
o The largest outperformance is on the 11th, up +5.5% (+6.2% last report) over last year at this time
o The largest underperformance is on the 25th, down -15.2% (-12.4% last report) over last year at this time
o Inventory is slightly higher than last year for the entire month
January
➢ January has just come on the books and is showing an underperformance versus last year at this time
o There are -7,212 less bookings than last year at this time
o New Years Day is down -6.1% with -143 less bookings than last year at this time
o Average daily performance is -10.4%
o The largest underperformance is on the 22nd, down -18.5% over last year at this time
o There are no days outperforming last year
o Inventory is slightly higher than last year for the entire month